Working Paper BETA #2021-14

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Title : Trend, Cycles and Chance

Author(s) : Claude Diebolt

Abstract : This paper is about the book Trend, Zyklus und Zufall. Bestimmungsgründe und Verlaufsformen langfristiger Wachstumsschwankungen (2002) written by Rainer Metz. It rehabilitates Metz’s somewhat forgotten milestone in the quantitative history literature on economic cycles. For me, it represents an indispensable standard work for anyone who wants to work in this field.

Key-words : Cliometrics, Economic history, Time series.

JEL Classification : C01, C22, C32, C82, N01, N14.